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[+] Team Summaries

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Trend-O-Meter 2008, cont.

Again for a quick explanation, the curve represents a team's trended performance over the course of the season. It is fit to the data points that measure roughly how well a team played in each game. You will notice in some cases that, even when team A beats team B, team B might have a higher score for that week. Essentially, this means that team A won on luck--e.g., bad turnovers, injuries, defensive mistakes for team B.

You will notice that, for the most part, Oklahoma was better than Texas for all but one week, Utah was consistently better than Alabama (though the gap in the lines exaggerates the difference a little), and Michigan was really bad and not getting better under Rich Rod. And before I forget, Washington State really was the worst BCS conference team in the history of the world, even if they did peak just at the right time to take home the apple bowl win.
I've also ranked the top 25 by improvement over the season. This does not include bowl game performances. This year we'll see if NC State and Ole Miss can continue where they finished last season.

I would be happy to produce any other two team comparisons that ya'll might be interested in seeing.

1 comment:

  1. An impressive share, I just given this onto a colleague who was doing a little analysis on this. And he in fact bought me breakfast because I found it for him.. smile. So let me reword that: Thnx for the treat! But yeah Thnkx for spending the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love reading more on this topic. If possible, as you become expertise, would you mind updating your blog with more details? It is highly helpful for me. Big thumb up for this blog post!
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