Nebraska (10-2) vs. Wisconsin (7-5)
Nebraska passing attack (82.5 NEPA; .261 NEPApp) vs. Wisconsin pass defense (40.4; .102)
Nebraska rushing attack (39.1 NEPA; .070 NEPApp) vs. Wisconsin rush defense (-66.5; -.172)
Wisconsin passing attack (62.5 NEPA; .245 NEPApp) vs. Nebraska pass defense (-45.4; -.129)
Wisconsin rushing attack (12.6 NEPA; .024 NEPApp) vs. Nebraska rush defense (-41.2; -.087)CFBTN Projection: 29-25, Nebraska
Maybe we should be glad Ohio State cheated. Nebraska faced both Ohio State and Wisconsin in the regular season, and their loss to OSU was far less captivating (63-38) than their win over the Badgers (30-27). One might think we could be in for another close one.
+.182 when Nebraska passes
-.051 when Nebraska rushes
+.058 when Wisconsin passes
-.032 when Wisconsin rushes
NEPA certainly favors Nebraska in this one. As a team, Nebraska has over 200 NEPA this season. Wisconsin has barely 100. Really, the game should not be as close as the first matchup turned out. In fact, the closeness of the first matchup was likely an aberration in itself. In that game, Nebraska gained 24 1st downs to Wisconsin's 17. Nebraska outgained UW 440-295. Turnovers and penalties dug Nebraska into an early hole, down 20-10 at halftime, but they came back to win with a dominant 2nd half. That 2nd half was closer to the true talent levels of both teams. I'm hoping this game is close, because close games are more fun. Unfortunately, I'm predicting a Nebraska blowout. Think of two second halves from the first matchup. That would come out to a 40-14 score, and that's not far off from what I'm expecting. If Wisconsin wins, they'll have the lowest winning % of a Rose Bowl participant in over 80 years. If NEPA is any indication, that streak will survive.