Lindy's Five Essential Websites (Non-Major Media) for 2013
[+] Team Summaries

Thursday, December 5, 2013

ACC Championship Preview

10-2 Duke vs. 12-0 Florida State
Saturday, 8:00, ABC

What they do well

Duke does a good job of turning red zone trips into touchdowns, with 71% of RZ trips netting 6 or more points.  Defensively, Duke surrendered 1.47 points per possession and got good starting position (73.2).  They're decent at forcing turnovers and getting off the field before teams get into the red zone.

I usually talk about statistics in which teams rank in the top 25, but doing so for Florida State would take too long.  Let's limit it to top 10:  Offensively, FSU is top 10 in points per possession (3.99, #1), EP3+ (2.23, #1), yards per possession (43.2, #2), starting field position (66.1), drives ending in TD (52%), drives reaching the red zone (44%), points per red zone trip (5.90, #3), and just to top it off, they're one of a handful of teams that has not turned the ball over on downs inside the 20.  The FSU offense is really, really good.  Defensively, they're top 10 in points per possession (0.83), EP3+ (1.25), yards allowed per possession (21.1), starting field position (73.7), drives ending in TD (10.1%), forcing turnovers (20% of drives), keeping teams out of the red zone (only 16%), and RZ turnovers on downs forced (13%).  Boy, that was exhausting.

What they don't do well

Duke doesn't put together many long, time-consuming drives, so don't expect them to keep Jameis Winston off the field.  They turn the ball over a little too much as well.  Conversely, opponents put together long drives that do consume time.

Florida State just doesn't have any weaknesses that are glaring.   I suppose their rush defense is only above average rather than the elite status I'd bestow on all other facets.  However, that is probably due more to FSU always having a lead and willingly giving up some rushing yards just to prevent big passes.   

EPA+ Matchup

Duke rush O (.13) vs. FSU rush D (.13)
Duke pass O (.08) vs. FSU pass D (.39)
FSU rush O (.30) vs. Duke rush D (-.01)
FSU pass O (.48) vs. Duke pass D (.06)

If EPA+ were sentient, it would laugh heartily at the suggestion that Duke could win this game.


Florida State.  If FSU doesn't win, it will be the worst loss in program history.  That's how much better they are.

Follow Brent on Twitter by mashing the pretty button below.


  1. I don't apperceive what it is about the bendable blow and matte finish, but I accept a anemic atom for printed suede Louboutin Outlet Online. One of the best brands to cull this off is YSL Wallet Outlet. I accept to acquaint you about a backpack attraction of mine. I am in fact mad at myself that I did not splurge on the Ralph Lauren Polo Outlet Croc Muse Two which has two colors that I admire with a sueced croc pattern. To see a formed suede accomplishment off a Red Bottoms Outlet that I already adore, my affection melts. Replica Watches are additionally pretty reflective of their user's persona. Amazing furthermore multi-colored Replica Watches are commonly worn because of the younger. Conversely, exquisite dress Swiss Rolex Replica are regularly sported by highly developed gentlemen. And then usually there's the luxurious Swiss Replica Watches worn by the individuals who're properly to complete. Check out observing your mates furthermore you can before long see how the layouts are actually ranging.

  2. I don?t know if best practices have emerged around things like that, but I am sure that your job is clearly identified as a fair game. Both boys and girls feel the impact of just a moment’s pleasure, for the rest of their lives.
    Click Here
    Visit Web

  3. Aw, this was a really nice post. In idea I would like to put in writing like this additionally – taking time and actual effort to make a very good article… but what can I say… I procrastinate alot and by no means seem to get something done.

    Visit Web

  4. Fabulous, what a weblog it is! This webpage presents helpful facts to us, keep it up.
    Look into my site 고스톱

  5. I really loved reading your blog. It was very well authored and easy to understand. Unlike other blogs I have read which are really not that good. Thanks a lot!