Team Page Explanation
Each team page offers a statistical overview of each team, their next opponent, and predictions for their upcoming game. Click on panels to see the full version.
The first link pops up a chart of the expected point distribution for the upcoming game. Darker squares represent more likely outcomes.
This first visible panel is the Expected Box Score. It provides summary information on the projected team and individual performance in the team's next game. The number to the left of each team name is the BPR rank of that team. Numbers in parentheses are the difference between the team's expected performance in this game and their season average.
This second panel provides a summary team overview. The values in parentheses are the national ranking. For the BPR, the other value represents the power rating that would maximize the probability of a team having that record against their schedule. The power rating uses a plethora of other statistics to rate teams-it is the single best estimate of which team will win a game. The SOS-B is the strength of schedule versus becoming bowl eligible. The value represents the power rating a team would need to become bowl eligible against this schedule 50%. SOS-U is the power rating a team would need to finish undefeated against their schedule 50% of the time. The trend-O-meter tracks a team's performance over the season.
The next panel presents more team statistics. Ratings are adjusted for SOS. The bar charts are a visual representation of the projected yards per play. If there is gray on the top of the chart, the team is projected to get fewer yards per play than they average. If the top of the bar is colored, the team is projected to get more yards than they average.
More team stats.
More team stats.
This next chart gives us a look at the teams' performance over the last thirty years. Hybrid and cRPI are two ways of ranking teams. The Hybrid ranking attempts to replicate the thought process the typical pollster uses when ranking teams. The cRPI is a variation of the RPI adapted for college football.
Individual stat leaders for each team and the most recent 6 previous meetings between the two teams.
This next panel uses mapping to look for potential match-up problems between the two teams. In each sub-panel the team's past opponents and their next opponent are mapped. Next to each team is the point difference between how well the team did and how well they were expected to do. If a team's upcoming opponent is close to teams that the team did relatively well against (positive numbers), this means they might match-up well against their next opponent.
The projected win distribution charts a number of wins by the probability that the team finishes with that many wins in the regular season. The vertical line near the middle of the chart represents bowl eligibility.
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