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[+] Team Summaries

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Statistical Review: Northwestern #19

Statistically, Northwestern has the look of a team that did the important things well, were neither exceptional nor terrible in any one area, and thus were able to win a lot of games without folks really taking notice. They avoided turnovers, especially costly turnovers, top 20 on third downs, and they ran the ball fairly well offensively. On defense they were average or a little above average across the board, but they were surprisingly bad on 3rd downs.

Generally, this makes Northwestern a little boring statistically even if that was far from the case in real life. One major exception is Kain Colter. I love Colter for three reasons. First, I can never remember which is his first name and which is his last. Second, I can never remember if his first or last name begins with a "C" or a "K". Third, He has a negative schedule adjusted EPA when passing but is still 46th among quarterbacks in EPA+. Not only does he have an EPA+ on rushing plays of 52.3 (which would rank him 14th among running backs), but he also scored double digit EPA receiving.

Projection:
Does "more of the same" count as analysis? If so, I expect more of the same.
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The Statistical Review breaks down teams along a number of performance categories, everything from red zone scoring to field goal percentage, and compares that performance against the rest of the FBS. All 124 teams will be reviewed from 124 to 1 by the hybrid rankings. You can find short descriptions of the stats used in the table below.



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