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Monday, September 14, 2009

All you need to break down a college football matchup

This week I will be taking my PhD comprehensive exams so I won't be posting, but starting next week I will be using a new layout to provide all the statistical information one might want to break down a matchup. Below is the breakdown of the national championship game. The Matrix gave a slight nod to Oklahoma, and also predicted more scoring than the 38 points we actually saw, but it gave a matchup advantage to Florida. Click each image to see a larger version.


  1. I'm really looking forward to the statistical breakdown.

    Perhaps a profitable system to beat the sports books would be nice to see. jk.

    Good luck with your exams.

  2. Thanks. Just turned it in.

    As for the profitable system, I'm personally not a gambler, but if people want to use it to that end, good for them. On that note, I've come to the opinion that good statistical analysis can only take you so far-you also need indepth qualitative analysis, and I don't have the time for that (though if someone wants to pay me to watch film all day, I'm in). Anyone who tells you they can consistently beat Vegas without both is a liar (unless, of course, they have very good connections and work on insider knowledge).