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Friday, August 10, 2012

What is the kicking game worth?


The last few posts discussed the point contribution of special teams - kickoffs, punts, and field goals. By adding those values together we get the kicking game points over expected (KGPOE). 

By this measure, Florida State comes out on top. The Seminoles were solid in all three areas and excelled on generating field position on punts. At the other end, Louisiana-Monroe struggled in all three areas. If Louisiana-Monroe could have traded their kicking game for Florida State's, it would have contributed about 10 points of margin per game. Another notable finish is Virginia Tech; despite Beamer Ball, Virginia Tech finished 2011 at an unspectacular 44th.

In the second and third columns I've ranked each by their point differential (second column) and their point differential if they exchanged their kicking game for the league average. Texas A&M, for example, finished 23rd nationally in point differential, but would have been 34th without the stellar play of Randy Bullock.

Point Diff. Rank Components
Team KGPOE W/ KG W/O KG KO PUNT FG
1 Florida St. 62.4 14 22 30.5 23.2 8.6
2 Oklahoma St. 59.2 7 9 43.7 9.0 6.4
3 LSU 52.3 4 4 23.5 22.2 6.5
4 Boise St. 45.6 5 5 42.8 6.9 -4.1
5 Auburn 44.5 82 94 26.3 14.5 3.6
6 Rice 42.9 102 109 11.0 19.5 12.3
7 Western Mich. 42.8 36 54 34.9 4.0 3.9
8 Arkansas 41.7 15 19 32.4 5.9 3.4
9 Cincinnati 41.7 17 25 25.4 17.1 -0.8
10 Texas A&M 39.5 23 34 21.8 -1.8 19.6
11 Southern Miss. 38.7 11 12 20.7 14.4 3.6
12 Utah 38.1 49 64 19.4 16.4 2.2
13 Kentucky 37.4 97 106 15.5 17.6 4.3
14 Temple 37.0 12 13 30.4 6.8 -0.2
15 Oklahoma 36.2 10 10 11.4 14.2 10.5
16 Nebraska 35.5 42 57 18.5 6.9 10.1
17 Miami (FL) 32.1 40 51 23.6 4.3 4.2
18 Oregon 29.6 6 7 16.7 14.1 -1.2
19 Louisiana Tech 28.6 35 43 6.8 23.4 -1.6
20 Mississippi 26.9 111 115 9.4 14.7 2.8
21 Florida 26.3 47 56 8.3 4.0 13.9
22 TCU 24.3 9 8 19.7 0.3 4.3
23 Oregon St. 23.3 98 103 16.2 9.7 -2.5
24 Vanderbilt 21.9 48 53 17.9 10.8 -6.7
25 Clemson 21.4 51 59 12.3 -0.1 9.2
26 Mississippi St. 20.5 45 47 15.3 10.1 -5.0
27 Michigan 19.5 13 11 26.6 -9.3 2.3
28 Ohio St. 19.2 57 63 1.4 8.8 8.9
29 USC 17.2 21 24 2.5 6.8 7.9
30 Connecticut 17.0 69 77 -1.9 5.4 13.5
31 BYU 16.7 26 32 15.2 4.8 -3.3
32 Tulsa 15.5 42 44 16.0 -6.9 6.4
33 Purdue 15.4 68 74 2.9 7.0 5.4
34 UTEP 15.3 83 85 4.5 15.7 -4.9
35 Texas Tech 14.5 87 93 -3.3 9.7 8.1
36 Washington 14.4 79 82 -0.6 10.1 4.9
37 Georgia 13.7 18 20 17.0 1.3 -4.6
38 Ohio 12.2 28 33 1.4 6.1 4.7
39 Arizona St. 11.9 52 50 5.1 7.9 -1.1
40 Michigan St. 11.3 16 17 6.7 0.3 4.2
41 Wisconsin 11.0 2 3 -2.2 9.6 3.6
42 Iowa 10.8 55 60 -0.8 11.0 0.7
43 Ball St. 10.6 99 101 -1.4 11.4 0.6
44 Virginia Tech 10.4 22 23 19.9 -8.9 -0.7
45 UCLA 10.0 100 102 -0.8 12.9 -2.1
46 California 9.8 53 52 -8.3 8.0 10.2
47 Arkansas St. 9.7 19 21 4.6 2.7 2.4
48 Boston College 9.4 86 90 6.3 6.2 -3.1
49 Houston 8.8 1 1 12.6 -3.5 -0.2
50 Eastern Mich. 8.8 80 81 9.8 1.3 -2.3
51 Iowa St. 8.8 93 95 7.5 4.1 -2.8
52 Pittsburgh 8.8 65 68 3.3 3.1 2.4
53 North Texas 7.4 88 92 -6.2 19.2 -5.6
54 Kansas St. 7.3 54 55 8.9 -3.8 2.2
55 Bowling Green 6.6 78 79 -9.5 18.9 -2.8
56 Missouri 6.4 27 27 6.4 6.9 -6.9
57 San Diego St. 5.9 49 46 14.8 4.8 -13.7
58 UCF 5.9 32 35 14.4 -5.9 -2.6
59 Utah St. 5.7 44 41 -2.4 13.5 -5.4
60 San Jose St. 5.2 88 91 6.1 4.0 -4.9
61 Texas 4.3 41 39 7.1 -9.8 6.9
62 Idaho 4.2 106 108 -18.2 20.8 1.7
63 Colorado St. 3.1 101 100 -0.6 9.1 -5.4
64 Louisville 2.5 64 66 -3.5 6.0 0.0
65 Stanford 1.7 8 6 0.9 2.4 -1.7
66 Duke 0.1 96 97 11.5 4.7 -16.0
67 SMU -0.2 60 61 11.7 -7.0 -4.9
68 Troy -0.7 105 104 7.6 -1.4 -6.9
69 Penn St. -0.7 61 62 1.4 -1.1 -1.0
70 Notre Dame -1.5 30 28 5.5 -3.8 -3.2
71 Wake Forest -2.3 72 76 2.1 -6.2 1.8
72 Army -2.4 81 80 6.7 -3.4 -5.6
73 Air Force -2.6 37 36 -8.1 -1.4 6.8
74 Minnesota -3.0 107 107 3.8 -14.6 7.8
75 South Florida -5.1 39 38 -2.0 -5.8 2.6
76 Rutgers -5.4 32 31 -8.1 6.0 -3.3
77 Northwestern -5.6 66 65 -1.6 -1.8 -2.3
78 Virginia -6.1 70 70 5.5 -9.3 -2.3
79 Baylor -7.4 32 29 4.7 -6.7 -5.4
80 Wyoming -7.4 74 75 -9.8 5.2 -2.8
81 Arizona -7.5 85 83 -0.6 -0.1 -6.8
82 Hawaii -8.1 63 58 -15.4 9.6 -2.4
83 Navy -8.5 67 67 -4.4 -2.5 -1.7
84 Colorado -9.7 114 113 -11.6 1.9 0.1
85 Illinois -11.3 59 48 -9.3 -5.8 3.8
86 Georgia Tech -11.4 31 26 -5.2 -1.9 -4.2
87 Central Mich. -12.2 103 99 -2.8 -11.1 1.7
88 FIU -12.3 46 37 -13.4 -7.9 9.1
89 Tennessee -12.8 77 73 2.3 -14.2 -1.0
90 Alabama -14.5 3 2 -9.2 -0.2 -5.1
91 East Carolina -15.2 90 84 3.6 -23.4 4.7
92 South Carolina -15.9 19 16 -6.5 -10.1 0.7
93 La.-Lafayette -16.1 62 49 -38.2 10.7 11.4
94 Indiana -17.3 110 110 -14.0 -9.1 5.8
95 Memphis -17.6 115 114 -1.0 -12.0 -4.6
96 Buffalo -18.8 93 89 -9.5 -8.3 -1.0
97 Washington St. -20.1 75 72 -21.3 -3.5 4.7
98 Western Ky. -20.5 75 71 -7.3 11.8 -25.0
99 Miami (OH) -20.6 73 69 0.8 -13.9 -7.5
100 North Carolina -20.9 58 42 -10.0 -8.9 -2.1
101 UNLV -21.4 118 119 -9.7 -11.8 0.1
102 Marshall -22.1 95 88 -19.9 -2.7 0.6
103 UAB -22.4 112 111 -32.7 1.5 8.9
104 Kent St. -23.8 91 87 -8.4 -20.2 4.7
105 Fresno St. -24.0 91 86 -18.3 -3.3 -2.4
106 Syracuse -24.9 84 78 -17.7 -6.9 -0.2
107 North Carolina St. -25.1 56 40 -19.0 -5.5 -0.7
108 Nevada -27.3 37 30 -16.1 -5.4 -5.7
109 West Virginia -29.0 24 14 -23.9 -2.8 -2.2
110 Kansas -29.6 116 116 -18.1 -4.4 -7.1
111 Florida Atlantic -30.0 117 117 -8.1 -18.3 -3.7
112 Tulane -31.2 113 112 -19.0 -10.2 -1.9
113 Middle Tenn. -31.4 109 105 -27.5 2.4 -6.3
114 Toledo -31.9 25 15 -25.7 -12.5 6.3
115 Maryland -32.2 104 96 -20.6 -0.2 -11.4
116 Northern Ill. -37.6 29 18 -31.8 -4.5 -1.3
117 Akron -42.0 119 118 -31.3 -14.1 3.4
118 New Mexico -43.9 120 120 -15.8 -21.5 -6.7
119 New Mexico St. -46.0 107 98 -20.1 -17.8 -8.0
120 La.-Monroe -66.6 71 45 -28.3 -26.0 -12.3

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