In 6 of the remaining bowl games Vegas and the model disagree by more than 3 points. In the case of Rutgers/Virginia Tech, Vegas likes the Hokies while the model favors Rutgers. The model like Northern Illinois, Wisconsin, Kansas State as underdogs and Cincinnati and San Jose State as favorites.
Of the 6, San Jose State is the most obvious case of an undervalued team. Kansas State is a really tough match-up for Oregon IF the KSU can run the ball (and they should have some success in that department). The model does not think highly of the ACC in general; I don't think highly of the ACC either, but I also don't think highly of the MAC and Big East.
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