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Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Statistical Review: Washington #55

What do Keith Price and Geno Smith have in common? They both used Baylor to trick people into thinking they were a lot better than they really are. Price didn't quite match Smith's 48 EPA performance against Baylor in 2012, but he did roll up 33.6 expected points added in the 2011 Alamo Bowl, the 5th most productive performance that season. He followed that up with negative EPA performances in eight of 11 games in 2013 and a combined -30 against LSU and Stanford. Instead of the explosive offense we saw against Baylor in 2011, Washington in 2012 was not explosive, they turned the ball over too often, and they didn't excel in any single area.

Ironically, the Washington defense in 2012 came to play. Their EPA/pass allowed was not elite but very good. And the defense was as good at forcing turnovers and defending in the red zone as the offense was bad.

The Statistical Review breaks down teams along a number of performance categories, everything from red zone scoring to field goal percentage, and compares that performance against the rest of the FBS. All 124 teams will be reviewed from 124 to 1 by the hybrid rankings. You can find short descriptions of the stats used in the table below.

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