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Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Blackwell's EPA, week 3 QBs

Expected points added (EPA) is not the only metric we should use when evaluating players. That being said, Doege's 66.9 NEPA is mind blowing and demands that the Tech QB be included in the Heisman conversation. Through three games, he has thrown for 858 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 8.5 yards/attempt. After a warm-up game against Northwestern St, he has completed more than 77% of his passes and is averaging a hair under 10 yards/attempt in two of the four best single-game EPA performances by a QB this season.

But even Doege's performance is outdone by what Pachall has been doing for TCU on a per play basis. Pachall has thrown for 841 yards and 8 TDs, completed 76% of his passes and is averaging just under 12 yards/attempt. His .83/.89 EPA/NPA/PP fall short of De'Anthony Thomas' numbers (see RB EPAs in the last post), but it leads all other QBs (but Minnesota's Shortell and teammate Trevone Boykin, who has attempted just 9 passes) by a significant margin.

Led by Doege and Pachall, the Big 12 claims five of the top eight spots. The Pac-12 disappoints with only Taylor Kelly in the top 18.

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