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Saturday, November 10, 2012

Vegas vs. CFBTN, Week 11

In five games this weekend the model and Vegas disagree by more than five points. The model likes Kansas State and Maryland presumably because it isn't appropriately accounting for injury concerns (injuries are tough for a statistical model). In the other three cases the model doesn't like big road favorites quite as much as Vegas; unless you have some particular reason to care if they win by two or three touchdowns, the inconsistency between Vegas and the model are just not that interesting.

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