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Monday, November 12, 2012

Week 11's Best Offensive Performances

The EP3, or effective points per possession, measure the average number of "effective" points earned each drive during a game. Effective points consider field position as well as actual points. The EP3+ is the team's average performance over the course of the season adjusted for the opposition. The EP3+D is the defensive score while the EP3+O is for the offense. The Perf-O begins with the single-game EP3 and adjusts for the opponent's EP3+D. The Perf-D begins with the opponent's EP3 and adjusts it for the opponent's EP3+O.

A couple of weeks ago I showed that Oregon only had the nation's second best offense. Apparently they took this personally as they have now had the top offensive performance two weeks in a row and have now surpassed Kansas State as the nation's premiere offense (and, arguably, the best overall team). Last week the Ducks edged out Texas A&M's performance against Auburn to post the best offensive performance of the season. Oregon's work against Cal was not quite of the same caliber this week, but they were again able to edge out the Aggies by the smallest of margins. 

Speaking of Aggies, Johnny Manziel and company finished in the top two for the third week in a row. To put their 1.08 EP3 in perspective, LSU managed only a .04 in their near upset of the Tide. While Oregon has regained its throne as the best offense in the country, Texas A&M has now claimed the #2 spot (and #4 overall behind Alabama and Kansas State).

The Longhorns have returned to form. Arizona posted a massive 3.47 against the worst college football team  ever from a program that has recently produced nationally competitive squads. Syracuse did a number on Louisville, and that number was 2.74, and the other number was 1, as in not 0. 

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